Astral Codex Ten

@astral_codex_ten@robot.villas

Psychiatry, statistics, forecasting, medicine, and long arguments about how to think clearly.

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Homepage: https://www.astralcodexten.com

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• Open Thread 453 #OpenThread #Discussion #Community

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  Sep 28, 2026

• Your Book Review: Lee Kuan Yew's Memoirs #BookReview #Memoir #History

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  Sep 25, 2026

• Fall Meetups 2026 - Call For Meetup Organizers #Community #Events #Forecasting

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  Sep 25, 2026

• The Specter Of Neuralese #AI #Philosophy #Cognition

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  Sep 24, 2026

• Does Georgism Work? Five Years Later #Economics #Policy #Philosophy

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  Sep 24, 2026

• Hidden Open Thread 452.5 #OpenThread #Discussion #LongForm

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  Sep 23, 2026

• Mysteries Of AI Generalization #AI #MachineLearning #Science

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  Sep 23, 2026

• Open Thread 452 #OpenThread #Discussion #Community

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  Sep 21, 2026

• Your Book Review: This Is Going To Hurt #Books #Medicine #Review

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  Sep 18, 2026

• AI Superforecasting Should Transform The FDA #AI #Forecasting #Medicine

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  Sep 16, 2026

• King Ludd #History #Technology #Economics

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  Sep 14, 2026

• Open Thread 451 #OpenThread #Discussion #Community

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  Sep 13, 2026

• Royce On San Francisco #City #Urbanism #Analysis

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  Sep 10, 2026

• God Help Us, Let's Try To Learn About Mechanistic Interpretability Techniques #AI #MachineLearning #Interpretability

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  Sep 8, 2026

• Open Thread 450 #OpenThread #Discussion #Community

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  Sep 7, 2026

• Your Book Review: The Tale Of Genji #Books #Literature #Reviews

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  Sep 4, 2026

• College EA Meetups Everywhere: Times & Places #Community #Education #Rationality

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  Sep 3, 2026

• Absurd Adventure And Amygdalectomy Advocacy #Medicine #Psychiatry #Forecasting

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  Sep 2, 2026

• Nicholas Decker In Hell #Philosophy #Psychology #Rationality

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  Sep 1, 2026

• Open Thread 449 #OpenThread #Discussion #Community

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  Aug 31, 2026

• Your Book Review: Thomas Urquhart's Translation Of Rabelais #Books #Literature #Translation

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  Aug 28, 2026

• Hidden Open Thread 448.5 #OpenThread #Discussion #Community

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  Aug 27, 2026

• Take The 2026 ACX Survey #Surveys #Forecasting #ACX

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  Aug 27, 2026

• Highlights From The Comments On The Substack Religion Debate #Religion #Debate #Philosophy

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  Aug 25, 2026

• Re: Re: Re: Pritchard On Liberal Happiness #Philosophy #Psychology #Rationality

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  Aug 24, 2026

• Open Thread 448 #OpenThread #Community #Discussion

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  Aug 24, 2026

• Your Book Review: A Residence Of 21 Years In The Sandwich Islands #History #Books #Travel

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  Aug 21, 2026

• College EA Meetups Everywhere: Call For Organizers #EA #Community #Organizing

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  Aug 20, 2026

• Why I'm Staying Out Of The Substack Religion Debate #Philosophy #Reasoning #Debate

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  Aug 19, 2026

• Open Thread 447 #OpenThread #Discussion #Community

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  Aug 17, 2026

• Your Book Review: The Escape Artist #BookReview #Psychology #Thinking

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  Aug 14, 2026

• The Foothills Of Bay Area House Party #BayArea #HouseParty #SocialScience

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  Aug 13, 2026

• The Quest For Caffeine You Can Have At Night #Health #Science #Productivity

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  Aug 13, 2026

• Open Thread 446 #OpenThread #Discussion #Community

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  Aug 10, 2026

• MacGregor The Bridge Builder #Psychiatry #Thinking #Medicine

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  Aug 7, 2026

• Open Questions On Open Weights #AI #OpenSource #MachineLearning

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  Aug 6, 2026

• Hidden Open Thread 445.5 #OpenThread #Discussion #Community

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  Aug 6, 2026

• The Beauty Of Settled Science #Science #Philosophy #Reasoning

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  Aug 4, 2026

• Does Forecasting Have Room At The Top? #Forecasting #DecisionMaking #Rationality

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  Aug 3, 2026

• Open Thread 445 #OpenThread #Discussion #Community

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  Aug 3, 2026